Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alexandre Muller · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 26, 2025 • 8:40 PM
Final score
3 - 1
Winner Stefanos Tsitsipas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Stefanos Tsitsipas
100% · 3–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,497 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,497 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.2 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 47% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.1 | 41% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 76% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexandre Muller
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,589 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,589 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.0 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 75% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Stefanos Tsitsipas and Alexandre Muller are set to meet at the US Open on August 26, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Tsitsipas enters with a 13–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Muller has posted a 15–16 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Tsitsipas leads 3–0 over Muller, including a win in their most recent meeting.