BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Stefano Travaglia vs Mattia Bellucci · Match odds & ELO prediction

Monza • Clay • Apr 10, 2026 • 1:00 PM

Clay

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Mattia Bellucci

Key insights

Player performance profile

Stefano Travaglia

HARD

58% · 75 on hard

CLAY

62% · 3220 on clay

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~877 points across 6 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-1.023% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-4.98% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-4.514% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
20%3% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Mattia Bellucci

HARD

55% · 1210 on hard

CLAY

50% · 55 on clay

Games won (last 10)

47%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,018 points across 50 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
0.342% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.929% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.048% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
44%32% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Stefano Travaglia and Mattia Bellucci are set to meet at the Monza on April 10, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Travaglia enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Bellucci has posted a 5–5 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Bellucci leads 1–0 over Travaglia, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Travaglia and Bellucci alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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