Stefano Napolitano vs Arthur Gea · Match odds & ELO prediction
Kigali • Clay • Mar 6, 2026 • 8:40 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Stefano Napolitano
Key insights
Player performance profile
Stefano Napolitano
47% · 7–8 on hard
55% · 12–10 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~961 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~961 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 36% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 54% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Arthur Gea
100% · 5–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,220 points across 8 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,220 points across 8 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.5 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Stefano Napolitano and Arthur Gea are set to meet at the Kigali on March 6, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Napolitano enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Gea has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.