Sorana Cirstea vs Karolina Muchova · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 28, 2025 • 6:25 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Karolina Muchova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sorana Cirstea
77% · 17–5 on hard
75% · 6–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
62%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,358 points across 73 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,358 points across 73 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.6 | 93% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 46% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.8 | 77% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 65% | 79% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Karolina Muchova
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,642 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,642 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.1 | 96% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 26% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.9 | 71% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 77% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Sorana Cirstea and Karolina Muchova are set to meet at the US Open on August 28, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Cirstea enters with a 27–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Muchova has posted a 25–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Muchova entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Muchova leads 6–1 over Cirstea, including a win in their most recent meeting.