Sofia Costoulas vs Ayla Aksu · Match odds & ELO prediction
Saint Malo • Clay • Apr 28, 2026 • 9:05 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Sofia Costoulas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sofia Costoulas
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,243 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,243 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -11.1 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ayla Aksu
70% · 14–6 on hard
50% · 3–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~102 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~102 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.3 | 69% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 91% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.0 | 49% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Sofia Costoulas and Ayla Aksu are set to meet at the Saint Malo on April 28, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Costoulas enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Aksu has posted a 3–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Costoulas, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Costoulas leads 2–1 over Aksu, including a win in their most recent meeting.