Sloane Stephens vs Renata Zarazua · Match odds & ELO prediction
Charleston • Clay • Mar 30, 2026 • 5:45 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Renata Zarazua
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sloane Stephens
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,005 points across 21 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,005 points across 21 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 58% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 45% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Renata Zarazua
48% · 10–11 on hard
70% · 7–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,548 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,548 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 30% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 52% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.7 | 32% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 34% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Sloane Stephens and Renata Zarazua are set to meet at the Charleston on March 30, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Stephens enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Zarazua has posted a 7–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Zarazua, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Zarazua leads 3–0 over Stephens, including a win in their most recent meeting.