Sloane Stephens vs Anhelina Kalinina · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 21, 2026 • 3:45 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Anhelina Kalinina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sloane Stephens
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
39%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,398 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,398 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.8 | 64% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 45% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Anhelina Kalinina
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,882 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,882 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 47% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 34% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.9 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 12% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Sloane Stephens and Anhelina Kalinina are set to meet at the Madrid on April 21, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Stephens enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Kalinina has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kalinina entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kalinina leads 2–1 over Stephens, including a win in their most recent meeting.