Sloane Stephens vs Anhelina Kalinina · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 21, 2026 • 3:45 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Anhelina Kalinina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sloane Stephens
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,005 points across 21 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,005 points across 21 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 37% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.2 | 58% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 45% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Anhelina Kalinina
50% · 4–4 on hard
87% · 26–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,767 points across 35 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,767 points across 35 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 42% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 66% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.9 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 35% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Sloane Stephens and Anhelina Kalinina are set to meet at the Madrid on April 21, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Stephens enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Kalinina has posted a 26–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kalinina entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kalinina leads 2–1 over Stephens, including a win in their most recent meeting.