Simona Waltert vs McCartney Kessler · Match odds & ELO prediction
Austin • Hard • Mar 10, 2026 • 12:15 AM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Simona Waltert
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,652 points across 19 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,652 points across 19 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 56% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.8 | 30% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
McCartney Kessler
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,261 points across 53 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,261 points across 53 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 52% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 55% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.6 | 64% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 76% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Simona Waltert and McCartney Kessler are set to meet at the Austin on March 10, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Waltert enters with a 3–2 record on hard courts in 2026, while Kessler has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kessler entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kessler leads 1–0 over Waltert, including a win in their most recent meeting.