Simona Waltert vs Matilde Jorge · Match odds & ELO prediction
Oeiras • Clay • Apr 15, 2025 • 2:40 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Simona Waltert
Key insights
Player performance profile
Simona Waltert
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,083 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,083 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 68% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 65% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.1 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Matilde Jorge
56% · 25–20 on hard
46% · 6–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~93 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~93 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 51% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 31% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.0 | 66% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Simona Waltert and Matilde Jorge are set to meet at the Oeiras on April 15, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Waltert enters with a 45–16 record on clay courts in 2025, while Jorge has posted a 6–7 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Waltert entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Waltert leads 2–0 over Jorge, including a win in their most recent meeting.