Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarro · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Merida • Hard • Feb 27, 2026 • 2:00 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Shuai Zhang
Key insights
Player performance profile
Shuai Zhang
60% · 3–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,288 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,288 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 56% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 52% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.0 | 77% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 71% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Emma Navarro
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,781 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,781 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 53% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 76% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.8 | 40% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 39% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Shuai Zhang and Emma Navarro are set to meet at the WTA Merida on February 27, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Zhang enters with a 3–2 record on hard courts in 2026, while Navarro has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Zhang entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Zhang leads 3–0 over Navarro, including a win in their most recent meeting.