Sho Shimabukuro vs Ilia Simakin · Match odds & ELO prediction
Busan • Hard • Apr 14, 2026 • 9:55 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Sho Shimabukuro
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sho Shimabukuro
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,449 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,449 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 71% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 77% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.5 | 71% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 89% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ilia Simakin
66% · 43–22 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~240 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~240 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 54% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 44% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.7 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Sho Shimabukuro and Ilia Simakin are set to meet at the Busan on April 14, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Shimabukuro enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Simakin has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Simakin entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Shimabukuro leads 2–0 over Simakin, including a win in their most recent meeting.