Shintaro Mochizuki vs Colton Smith · Match odds & ELO prediction
Ilkley • Grass • Jun 10, 2025 • 5:00 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Shintaro Mochizuki
Key insights
Player performance profile
Shintaro Mochizuki
0% · 0–3 on hard
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,363 points across 34 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,363 points across 34 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 91% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.4 | 37% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 48% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Colton Smith
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,815 points across 22 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,815 points across 22 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 40% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 87% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.5 | 93% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 19% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Shintaro Mochizuki and Colton Smith are set to meet at the Ilkley on June 10, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Mochizuki enters with a 11–3 record on grass courts in 2025, while Smith has posted a 9–5 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Smith entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Mochizuki leads 2–1 over Smith, including a win in their most recent meeting.