Shilin Xu vs Mariia Tkacheva · Match odds & ELO prediction
Midland • Hard • Feb 15, 2026 • 8:50 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Shilin Xu
Key insights
Player performance profile
Shilin Xu
63% · 5–3 on hard
55% · 11–9 on clay
Games won (last 10)
47%
3 matches tracked · limited sample
Mariia Tkacheva
62% · 21–13 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
42%
9 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~100 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~100 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 25% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 44% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Shilin Xu and Mariia Tkacheva are set to meet at the Midland on February 15, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Xu enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Tkacheva has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Xu leads 1–0 over Tkacheva, including a win in their most recent meeting.