Sebastian Ofner vs Hugo Gaston · Match odds & ELO prediction
Lille • Hard • Feb 16, 2026 • 8:20 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Hugo Gaston
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sebastian Ofner
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,250 points across 27 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,250 points across 27 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 70% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.9 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 43% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Hugo Gaston
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,849 points across 33 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,849 points across 33 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 76% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 55% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Sebastian Ofner and Hugo Gaston are set to meet at the Lille on February 16, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Ofner enters with a 0–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Gaston has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Gaston entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Ofner leads 4–2 over Gaston, including a win in their most recent meeting.