Sebastian Baez vs Roberto Carballes Baena · Match odds & ELO prediction
Valencia • Clay • May 12, 2026 • 10:55 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Sebastian Baez
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sebastian Baez
71% · 10–4 on hard
50% · 7–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,924 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,924 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 95% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.8 | 75% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 45% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Roberto Carballes Baena
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,117 points across 32 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,117 points across 32 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 85% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.0 | 39% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 39% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Sebastian Baez and Roberto Carballes Baena are set to meet at the Valencia on May 12, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Baez enters with a 7–7 record on clay courts in 2026, while Baena has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Baez, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Baez leads 3–0 over Baena, including a win in their most recent meeting.