Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Heather Watson · Match odds & ELO prediction
Puerto Vallarta • Hard • Mar 27, 2025 • 10:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Heather Watson
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sara Sorribes Tormo
59% · 10–7 on hard
43% · 3–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,015 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,015 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.4 | 87% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.5 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 95% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Heather Watson
45% · 9–11 on hard
0% · 0–2 on clay
50% · 5–5 on grass
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,384 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,384 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 44% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.4 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Sara Sorribes Tormo and Heather Watson are set to meet at the Puerto Vallarta on March 27, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Tormo enters with a 10–7 record on hard courts in 2025, while Watson has posted a 9–11 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Watson leads 3–0 over Tormo, including a win in their most recent meeting.