Sara Bejlek vs Nuria Brancaccio · Match odds & ELO prediction
Tolentino • Clay • Sep 15, 2025 • 6:55 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Nuria Brancaccio
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sara Bejlek
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
63%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,235 points across 24 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,235 points across 24 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 46% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +13.4 | 99% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 89% | 99% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Nuria Brancaccio
29% · 2–5 on hard
66% · 31–16 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,578 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,578 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 50% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.3 | 27% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Sara Bejlek and Nuria Brancaccio are set to meet at the Tolentino on September 15, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Bejlek enters with a 31–10 record on clay courts in 2025, while Brancaccio has posted a 31–16 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Bejlek entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Bejlek leads 2–1 over Brancaccio, including a win in their most recent meeting.