Sara Bejlek vs Nuria Brancaccio · Match odds & ELO prediction
Tolentino • Clay • Sep 15, 2025 • 6:55 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Nuria Brancaccio
Key insights
Player performance profile
Sara Bejlek
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
64%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,028 points across 22 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,028 points across 22 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 40% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.2 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +13.3 | 100% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 100% | 99% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Nuria Brancaccio
29% · 2–5 on hard
66% · 31–16 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,412 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,412 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 58% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.1 | 93% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Sara Bejlek and Nuria Brancaccio are set to meet at the Tolentino on September 15, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Bejlek enters with a 31–10 record on clay courts in 2025, while Brancaccio has posted a 31–16 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Bejlek entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Bejlek leads 2–1 over Brancaccio, including a win in their most recent meeting.