BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Simona Waltert vs McCartney Kessler · Match odds & ELO prediction

Austin • Hard • Mar 10, 2026 • 12:15 AM

Hard

Key insights

Player performance profile

Simona Waltert

HARD

60% · 32 on hard

Games won (last 10)

46%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,652 points across 19 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.756% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.259% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.830% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
50%43% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

McCartney Kessler

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,261 points across 53 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.452% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.455% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+1.664% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
60%76% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Simona Waltert and McCartney Kessler are set to meet at the Austin on March 10, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Waltert enters with a 3–2 record on hard courts in 2026, while Kessler has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kessler entering this matchup. This will be the first meeting between Waltert and Kessler at the professional level.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Waltert and Kessler alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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