BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Sho Shimabukuro vs Yuta Shimizu · Match odds & ELO prediction

Gwangju • Hard • Apr 23, 2026 • 2:00 AM

Hard

Key insights

Player performance profile

Sho Shimabukuro

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

47%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,173 points across 14 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.779% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.285% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.168% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
80%98% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Yuta Shimizu

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,001 points across 6 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-1.023% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.656% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+6.191% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Sho Shimabukuro and Yuta Shimizu are set to meet at the Gwangju on April 23, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Shimabukuro enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Shimizu has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Shimabukuro entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Shimizu leads 3–1 over Shimabukuro, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Shimabukuro and Shimizu have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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