S. Saito vs Mariia Tkacheva · Match odds & ELO prediction
Manila • Hard • Jan 27, 2026 • 11:05 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Mariia Tkacheva
Key insights
Player performance profile
S. Saito
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~650 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~650 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -6.0 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -8.4 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mariia Tkacheva
62% · 21–13 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
42%
9 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~100 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~100 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 46% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
S. Saito and Mariia Tkacheva are set to meet at the Manila on January 27, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Saito enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Tkacheva has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Saito entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Tkacheva leads 1–0 over Saito, including a win in their most recent meeting.