S. Saito vs Mariia Tkacheva · Match odds & ELO prediction
Manila • Hard • Jan 27, 2026 • 11:05 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Mariia Tkacheva
Key insights
Player performance profile
S. Saito
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~759 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~759 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -6.0 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -8.5 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mariia Tkacheva
62% · 21–13 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
42%
9 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~100 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~100 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 26% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 43% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
S. Saito and Mariia Tkacheva are set to meet at the Manila on January 27, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Saito enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Tkacheva has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Tkacheva leads 1–0 over Saito, including a win in their most recent meeting.