Roberto Carballes Baena vs Arthur Rinderknech · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 24, 2025 • 3:10 PM
Final score
1 - 3
Winner Arthur Rinderknech
Key insights
Player performance profile
Roberto Carballes Baena
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,281 points across 27 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,281 points across 27 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 88% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 55% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 46% | 37% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Arthur Rinderknech
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,290 points across 63 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,290 points across 63 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 82% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -6.0 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.1 | 39% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 25% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Roberto Carballes Baena and Arthur Rinderknech are set to meet at the US Open on August 24, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Baena enters with a 7–11 record on hard courts in 2025, while Rinderknech has posted a 16–19 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Baena entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Baena leads 2–1 over Rinderknech.