Roberto Bautista-Agut vs Matteo Berrettini · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monte Carlo • Clay • Apr 7, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Roberto Bautista-Agut
36% · 4–7 on hard
29% · 2–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,715 points across 42 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,715 points across 42 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 48% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.0 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 39% | 21% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Matteo Berrettini
60% · 3–2 on hard
50% · 7–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,666 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,666 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.5 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.2 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.5 | 63% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 51% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Roberto Bautista-Agut and Matteo Berrettini are set to meet at the Monte Carlo on April 7, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Bautista-Agut enters with a 2–5 record on clay courts in 2026, while Berrettini has posted a 7–7 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Bautista-Agut entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Berrettini leads 4–0 over Bautista-Agut, including a win in their most recent meeting.