BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Roberto Bautista-Agut vs Jack Draper · Match odds & ELO prediction

ATP Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 7, 2026 • 7:05 PM

Hard

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Jack Draper

Key insights

Player performance profile

Roberto Bautista-Agut

Games won (last 10)

45%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,249 points across 39 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-0.823% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.048% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.436% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
44%31% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Jack Draper

Games won (last 10)

56%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,175 points across 36 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
4.593% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
0.890% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.346% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
65%83% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Roberto Bautista-Agut and Jack Draper are set to meet at the ATP Indian Wells on March 7, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Bautista-Agut enters with a 0–0 record on hard courts in 2026, while Draper has posted a 0–0 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Draper, but the gap is not overwhelming. This will be the first meeting between Bautista-Agut and Draper at the professional level.

Recent singles form slightly favors Draper, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Bautista-Agut has gone 1–4 over the same span.
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