Roberto Bautista-Agut vs Francesco Maestrelli · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 7, 2026 • 1:25 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Roberto Bautista-Agut
Key insights
Player performance profile
Roberto Bautista-Agut
36% · 4–7 on hard
29% · 2–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,715 points across 42 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,715 points across 42 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 48% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.0 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 39% | 21% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Francesco Maestrelli
61% · 11–7 on hard
0% · 0–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
40%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,496 points across 10 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,496 points across 10 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 44% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.5 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.0 | 94% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Roberto Bautista-Agut and Francesco Maestrelli are set to meet at the Rome on May 7, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Bautista-Agut enters with a 2–5 record on clay courts in 2026, while Maestrelli has posted a 0–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Bautista-Agut entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Bautista-Agut leads 1–0 over Maestrelli, including a win in their most recent meeting.