Rio Noguchi vs Alexis Galarneau · Match odds & ELO prediction
Gwangju • Hard • Apr 21, 2026 • 2:05 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Alexis Galarneau
Key insights
Player performance profile
Rio Noguchi
70% · 19–8 on hard
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~269 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~269 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 51% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexis Galarneau
57% · 35–26 on hard
25% · 1–3 on clay
50% · 1–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,436 points across 15 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,436 points across 15 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 76% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.4 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Rio Noguchi and Alexis Galarneau are set to meet at the Gwangju on April 21, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Noguchi enters with a 19–8 record on hard courts in 2026, while Galarneau has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Galarneau leads 2–0 over Noguchi, including a win in their most recent meeting.