BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Rinky Hijikata vs Luciano Darderi · Match odds & ELO prediction

ATP Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 7, 2026 • 11:45 PM

Hard

Key insights

Player performance profile

Rinky Hijikata

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,340 points across 42 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.210% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.341% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.248% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
41%27% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Luciano Darderi

HARD

29% · 615 on hard

CLAY

73% · 3011 on clay

GRASS

33% · 24 on grass

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~8,827 points across 58 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.462% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.363% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+0.856% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
60%74% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Rinky Hijikata and Luciano Darderi are set to meet at the ATP Indian Wells on March 7, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Hijikata enters with a 2–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Darderi has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Darderi entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Darderi leads 2–0 over Hijikata, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent singles form slightly favors Darderi, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Hijikata has gone 2–3 over the same span.
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