Rinky Hijikata vs Brandon Nakashima · Match odds & ELO prediction
Adelaide • Hard • Jan 8, 2025 • 2:15 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Rinky Hijikata
Key insights
Player performance profile
Rinky Hijikata
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,576 points across 37 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,576 points across 37 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 35% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.1 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 38% | 23% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Brandon Nakashima
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,077 points across 61 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,077 points across 61 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.5 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 41% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 56% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Rinky Hijikata and Brandon Nakashima are set to meet at the Adelaide on January 8, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Hijikata enters with a 26–22 record on hard courts in 2025, while Nakashima has posted a 21–19 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Hijikata, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Nakashima leads 3–1 over Hijikata, including a win in their most recent meeting.