Renata Zarazua vs Marie Bouzkova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 22, 2025 • 11:05 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Marie Bouzkova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Renata Zarazua
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,586 points across 37 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,586 points across 37 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 56% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.9 | 29% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 35% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Marie Bouzkova
50% · 2–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,478 points across 52 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,478 points across 52 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 43% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.2 | 93% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.6 | 90% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 77% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Renata Zarazua and Marie Bouzkova are set to meet at the Madrid on April 22, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Zarazua enters with a 9–9 record on clay courts in 2025, while Bouzkova has posted a 9–6 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Bouzkova, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Bouzkova leads 3–0 over Zarazua, including a win in their most recent meeting.