Renata Zarazua vs Ajla Tomljanovic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monterrey • Hard • Aug 20, 2025 • 1:35 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Ajla Tomljanovic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Renata Zarazua
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,586 points across 37 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,586 points across 37 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 56% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.9 | 29% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 35% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ajla Tomljanovic
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,549 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,549 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 45% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 49% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.1 | 58% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 62% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Renata Zarazua and Ajla Tomljanovic are set to meet at the Monterrey on August 20, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Zarazua enters with a 28–19 record on hard courts in 2025, while Tomljanovic has posted a 14–16 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Tomljanovic leads 3–0 over Zarazua, including a win in their most recent meeting.