Rei Sakamoto vs Rafael Jodar · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Australian Open • Hard • Jan 20, 2026 • 5:15 AM
Final score
2 - 3
Winner Rafael Jodar
Key insights
Player performance profile
Rei Sakamoto
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,113 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,113 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.3 | 59% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 58% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.7 | 80% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 97% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Rafael Jodar
86% · 6–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~438 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~438 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 88% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.8 | 84% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Rei Sakamoto and Rafael Jodar are set to meet at the ATP Australian Open on January 20, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Sakamoto enters with a 0–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Jodar has posted a 6–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Jodar entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Jodar leads 2–0 over Sakamoto, including a win in their most recent meeting.