Rei Sakamoto vs Liam Draxl · Match odds & ELO prediction
Lugano • Clay • Feb 25, 2025 • 10:50 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Liam Draxl
Key insights
Player performance profile
Rei Sakamoto
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,450 points across 24 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,450 points across 24 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 78% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.9 | 30% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.1 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 64% | 84% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Liam Draxl
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,557 points across 23 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,557 points across 23 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 15% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.2 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 38% | 18% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Rei Sakamoto and Liam Draxl are set to meet at the Lugano on February 25, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Sakamoto enters with a 3–3 record on clay courts in 2025, while Draxl has posted a 10–5 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Sakamoto leads 2–1 over Draxl, including a win in their most recent meeting.