Rebeka Masarova vs Maja Chwalinska · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Australian Open • Hard • Jan 14, 2026 • 1:00 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Maja Chwalinska
Key insights
Player performance profile
Rebeka Masarova
53% · 8–7 on hard
63% · 5–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,408 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,408 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.9 | 94% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 41% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 56% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Maja Chwalinska
71% · 10–4 on hard
73% · 8–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
70%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,076 points across 28 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,076 points across 28 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 47% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 83% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.1 | 39% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 44% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Rebeka Masarova and Maja Chwalinska are set to meet at the WTA Australian Open on January 14, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Masarova enters with a 8–7 record on hard courts in 2026, while Chwalinska has posted a 10–4 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Chwalinska leads 3–1 over Masarova, including a win in their most recent meeting.