Rebeka Masarova vs Lourdes Carle Maria · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • May 19, 2026 • 4:20 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Lourdes Carle Maria
Key insights
Player performance profile
Rebeka Masarova
53% · 8–7 on hard
63% · 5–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,408 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,408 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.9 | 94% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 39% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 55% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lourdes Carle Maria
44% · 7–9 on hard
55% · 26–21 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,027 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,027 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.7 | 99% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -7.5 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 17% | 4% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Rebeka Masarova and Lourdes Carle Maria are set to meet at the French Open on May 19, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Masarova enters with a 5–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Maria has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Maria entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Maria leads 3–0 over Masarova, including a win in their most recent meeting.