Rebeka Masarova vs Leylah Fernandez · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 8, 2026 • 6:30 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Rebeka Masarova
Key insights
Player performance profile
Rebeka Masarova
53% · 8–7 on hard
63% · 5–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,408 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,408 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.9 | 94% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 39% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 55% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Leylah Fernandez
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,355 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,355 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Rebeka Masarova and Leylah Fernandez are set to meet at the Rome on May 8, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Masarova enters with a 5–3 record on clay courts in 2026, while Fernandez has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Masarova, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Masarova leads 1–0 over Fernandez, including a win in their most recent meeting.