Rebecca Marino vs Heather Watson · Match odds & ELO prediction
Austin • Hard • Feb 23, 2025 • 4:50 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Rebecca Marino
Key insights
Player performance profile
Rebecca Marino
47% · 15–17 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
57% · 4–3 on grass
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,840 points across 20 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,840 points across 20 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 60% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 35% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 29% | 13% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Heather Watson
45% · 9–11 on hard
0% · 0–2 on clay
50% · 5–5 on grass
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,384 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,384 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 44% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.4 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Rebecca Marino and Heather Watson are set to meet at the Austin on February 23, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Marino enters with a 15–17 record on hard courts in 2025, while Watson has posted a 9–11 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Watson entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Marino leads 2–1 over Watson, including a win in their most recent meeting.