Raphael Collignon vs Matteo Berrettini · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 22, 2026 • 10:30 AM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Raphael Collignon
67% · 4–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,669 points across 30 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,669 points across 30 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 49% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.7 | 97% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 96% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Matteo Berrettini
54% · 15–13 on hard
57% · 4–3 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,666 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,666 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 5.5 | 97% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.2 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.5 | 61% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Raphael Collignon and Matteo Berrettini are set to meet at the Madrid on April 22, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Collignon enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Berrettini has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Collignon, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Berrettini leads 1–0 over Collignon, including a win in their most recent meeting.