Raphael Collignon vs Luca van Assche · Match odds & ELO prediction
Pau • Hard • Feb 13, 2026 • 4:35 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Raphael Collignon
Key insights
Player performance profile
Raphael Collignon
67% · 4–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,669 points across 30 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,669 points across 30 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 34% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 47% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.7 | 96% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 69% | 91% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Luca van Assche
75% · 18–6 on hard
50% · 5–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,637 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,637 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 94% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.5 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 17% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Raphael Collignon and Luca van Assche are set to meet at the Pau on February 13, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Collignon enters with a 4–2 record on hard courts in 2026, while Assche has posted a 18–6 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Collignon, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Collignon leads 4–0 over Assche, including a win in their most recent meeting.