Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 27, 2025 • 5:00 PM
Final score
3 - 2
Winner Raphael Collignon
Key insights
Player performance profile
Raphael Collignon
67% · 4–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,669 points across 30 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,669 points across 30 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 34% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 47% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.7 | 96% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 75% | 94% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Casper Ruud
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,691 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,691 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.7 | 80% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 79% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.9 | 80% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 79% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Raphael Collignon and Casper Ruud are set to meet at the US Open on August 27, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Collignon enters with a 24–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Ruud has posted a 23–11 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Ruud, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.