Raphael Collignon vs Brandon Nakashima · Match odds & ELO prediction
Brisbane • Hard • Jan 9, 2026 • 5:40 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Brandon Nakashima
Key insights
Player performance profile
Raphael Collignon
67% · 4–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,203 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,203 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 27% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 63% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +11.7 | 100% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 97% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Brandon Nakashima
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,077 points across 61 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,077 points across 61 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.5 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 41% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 55% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Raphael Collignon and Brandon Nakashima are set to meet at the Brisbane on January 9, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Collignon enters with a 4–2 record on hard courts in 2026, while Nakashima has posted a 4–1 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Nakashima leads 2–0 over Collignon, including a win in their most recent meeting.