Rafael Jodar vs Learner Tien · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 12, 2026 • 10:30 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Rafael Jodar
Key insights
Player performance profile
Rafael Jodar
86% · 6–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,490 points across 24 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,490 points across 24 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 51% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 93% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 91% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Learner Tien
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,989 points across 84 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,989 points across 84 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 38% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 77% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.6 | 77% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 57% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Rafael Jodar and Learner Tien are set to meet at the Rome on May 12, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Jodar enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Tien has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Jodar, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Jodar leads 2–0 over Tien, including a win in their most recent meeting.