Rio Noguchi vs Keegan Rice · Match odds & ELO prediction
Winnipeg • Hard • Jul 22, 2026 • 11:00 PM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Rio Noguchi
70% · 19–8 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~269 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~269 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.4 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Keegan Rice
50% · 8–8 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Match Overview
Rio Noguchi and Keegan Rice are set to meet at the Winnipeg on July 22, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Noguchi enters with a 19–8 record on hard courts in 2026, while Rice has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Noguchi entering this matchup. This will be the first meeting between Noguchi and Rice at the professional level.