Rafael Jodar vs Jesper De Jong · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 22, 2026 • 4:30 PM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Rafael Jodar
86% · 6–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
62%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,355 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,355 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 42% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.2 | 93% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 43% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 90% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jesper De Jong
0% · 0–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,872 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,872 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 51% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.2 | 43% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.6 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 45% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Rafael Jodar and Jesper De Jong are set to meet at the Madrid on April 22, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Jodar enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Jong has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Jodar, but the gap is not overwhelming. This will be the first meeting between Jodar and Jong at the professional level.