Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Kenin · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 24, 2026 • 9:10 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Qinwen Zheng
Key insights
Player performance profile
Qinwen Zheng
57% · 4–3 on hard
67% · 2–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,464 points across 39 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,464 points across 39 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.5 | 83% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 50% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.5 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 35% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sofia Kenin
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,742 points across 61 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,742 points across 61 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 79% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.9 | 65% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 48% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Qinwen Zheng and Sofia Kenin are set to meet at the Madrid on April 24, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Zheng enters with a 2–1 record on clay courts in 2026, while Kenin has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Zheng entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Zheng leads 3–0 over Kenin, including a win in their most recent meeting.