Qinwen Zheng vs Sloane Stephens · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 21, 2026 • 4:40 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Qinwen Zheng
Key insights
Player performance profile
Qinwen Zheng
62% · 8–5 on hard
71% · 10–4 on clay
50% · 2–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,736 points across 34 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,736 points across 34 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 83% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.3 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 34% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sloane Stephens
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
39%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,398 points across 17 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,398 points across 17 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 7% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.8 | 64% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 45% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Qinwen Zheng and Sloane Stephens are set to meet at the Miami on March 21, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Zheng enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Stephens has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Zheng entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Zheng leads 3–0 over Stephens, including a win in their most recent meeting.