Qinwen Zheng vs Jelena Ostapenko · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rome • Clay • May 9, 2026 • 1:25 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Jelena Ostapenko
Key insights
Player performance profile
Qinwen Zheng
57% · 4–3 on hard
67% · 2–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,464 points across 39 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,464 points across 39 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.5 | 83% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 50% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.5 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 35% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jelena Ostapenko
53% · 9–8 on hard
50% · 3–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,361 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,361 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 36% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 44% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 39% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Qinwen Zheng and Jelena Ostapenko are set to meet at the Rome on May 9, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Zheng enters with a 2–1 record on clay courts in 2026, while Ostapenko has posted a 3–3 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Zheng leads 3–1 over Ostapenko.