Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 26, 2026 • 9:00 AM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Qinwen Zheng
62% · 8–5 on hard
71% · 10–4 on clay
50% · 2–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,736 points across 34 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,736 points across 34 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 83% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.3 | 21% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 34% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Elena Rybakina
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,358 points across 92 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,358 points across 92 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 7.6 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 33% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.0 | 66% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 70% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Qinwen Zheng and Elena Rybakina are set to meet at the Madrid on April 26, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Zheng enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Rybakina has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rybakina entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rybakina leads 3–1 over Zheng, including a win in their most recent meeting.