Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 26, 2026 • 6:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Elena Rybakina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Qinwen Zheng
57% · 4–3 on hard
67% · 2–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,464 points across 39 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,464 points across 39 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.5 | 83% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 49% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.5 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 44% | 34% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Elena Rybakina
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
61%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,206 points across 98 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,206 points across 98 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 7.4 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 34% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.6 | 69% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 69% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Qinwen Zheng and Elena Rybakina are set to meet at the Madrid on April 26, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Zheng enters with a 2–1 record on clay courts in 2026, while Rybakina has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rybakina entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Rybakina leads 4–1 over Zheng, including a win in their most recent meeting.