Polona Hercog vs Oleksandra Oliynykova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Quito • Clay • Dec 3, 2025 • 3:05 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Polona Hercog
Key insights
Player performance profile
Polona Hercog
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~84 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~84 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.9 | 30% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Oleksandra Oliynykova
25% · 1–3 on hard
78% · 57–16 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~716 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~716 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 36% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.8 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Polona Hercog and Oleksandra Oliynykova are set to meet at the Quito on December 3, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Hercog enters with a 8–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Oliynykova has posted a 57–16 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Oliynykova entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Hercog leads 3–1 over Oliynykova, including a win in their most recent meeting.