Polona Hercog vs Oleksandra Oliynykova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Quito • Clay • Dec 3, 2025 • 3:05 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Polona Hercog
Key insights
Player performance profile
Polona Hercog
67% · 2–1 on hard
65% · 15–8 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~84 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~84 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.7 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.9 | 30% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Oleksandra Oliynykova
60% · 3–2 on hard
58% · 7–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,099 points across 14 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,099 points across 14 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 26% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 91% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.4 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Polona Hercog and Oleksandra Oliynykova are set to meet at the Quito on December 3, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Hercog enters with a 8–5 record on clay courts in 2025, while Oliynykova has posted a 57–16 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Hercog entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Hercog leads 3–1 over Oliynykova, including a win in their most recent meeting.