Polina Kudermetova vs Lisa Pigato · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid (Spain) • Clay • Apr 11, 2026 • 9:05 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Lisa Pigato
Key insights
Player performance profile
Polina Kudermetova
67% · 6–3 on hard
73% · 16–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,212 points across 45 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,212 points across 45 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 32% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.4 | 82% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 74% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Lisa Pigato
75% · 9–3 on hard
82% · 18–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~293 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~293 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.4 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 65% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.7 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Polina Kudermetova and Lisa Pigato are set to meet at the Madrid (Spain) on April 11, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Kudermetova enters with a 16–6 record on clay courts in 2026, while Pigato has posted a 18–4 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Kudermetova, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.