Polina Iatcenko vs Matilde Jorge · Match odds & ELO prediction
Caldas da Rainha • Hard • Sep 15, 2025 • 1:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Polina Iatcenko
Key insights
Player performance profile
Polina Iatcenko
52% · 12–11 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~219 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~219 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 94% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.3 | 60% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Matilde Jorge
46% · 6–7 on hard
33% · 1–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
41%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~236 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~236 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.3 | 53% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.3 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 50% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 51% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Polina Iatcenko and Matilde Jorge are set to meet at the Caldas da Rainha on September 15, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Iatcenko enters with a 41–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Jorge has posted a 25–20 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Iatcenko, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Jorge leads 2–1 over Iatcenko.