BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Mikhail Kukushkin · Match odds & ELO prediction

St. Tropez • Hard • Sep 16, 2025 • 11:40 AM

Hard

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Mikhail Kukushkin

Key insights

Player performance profile

Pierre-Hugues Herbert

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~4,838 points across 31 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.054% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.714% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.368% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Shaky
50%47% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Mikhail Kukushkin

HARDSmall sample

75% · 31 on hard

Games won (last 10)

48%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,569 points across 19 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-2.210% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.168% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-4.316% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Pierre-Hugues Herbert and Mikhail Kukushkin are set to meet at the St. Tropez on September 16, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Herbert enters with a 16–13 record on hard courts in 2025, while Kukushkin has posted a 20–22 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Herbert entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Herbert leads 2–1 over Kukushkin.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Herbert and Kukushkin have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.
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